Kyiv Security Forum

U.S. Presidential Administration is unlikely to make catastrophic decisions - Steven Pifer

07 April 2017, 16:34

"I do not think that Trump’s team expected victory in the presidential election. Today this could be confirmed by slow process of the transfer of power in the United States. In such circumstances it is very difficult to determine the policy of the new Presidential Administration. At the same time, I do not think that it will make any catastrophic decisions both for the USA and for the world. Also those things that were started by the previous administration, and during the presidential campaign D. Trump stayed against, continue to keep working, and the new administration failed to change them", said Stephen Pifer, Director of the Brookings Institution's Arms Control Initiative at 10th Kyiv Security Forum, organized by the Arseniy Yatsenyuk Foundation Open Ukraine.

Stephen Pifer also expressed hope that positive messages that Secretary of State Tillerson and Vice-President Pence recently reported are also the position of President Trump himself.

"For today, the world needs clear U.S. policy and clear decision for American leadership. I do not know what position President Trump will be taken in the future. However, those positive messages, in particular, regarding leadership in NATO and devotion to Article 5, which during the past 11 weeks are reported by both Secretary of State Tillerson and Vice President Pence, clearly indicate that today the policy of the Republican Party of the United States is being carried out in relation to Russia. And I hope that what Michael Pence and Rex Tillerson have said today is also the position of President Trump", American expert said.

At the same time, he noted that today the White House has 3 centers of influence on the President, among which, despite the dismissal, there is a group of Stephen Bannon. And so today it is also very important who will decisively influence on decision-making process by the President.

Regarding the U.S. current foreign policy, the American expert believes that President Trump will be forced to fulfill pre-election promises first and concentrate on solving intra-American issues. But those events that take place in the world will also require his attention and he will have to do it. "I do not think that he will immediately resort to the method of direct confrontation in solving international problems. Rather, President Trump tries to manage effectively those protests in the world that require U.S. involvement", said Steven Pifer.

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Kyiv Security Forum was launched by the Arseniy Yatsenyuk Foundation Open Ukraine in 2007 is an annual international event to high-level discussions on the current issues in the Black Sea region and wider Europe. The Forum aims at increasing security cooperation between the EU and the Black Sea region, raising awareness about regional developments among key regional players, promoting the role of independent and non-governmental actors in setting the security agenda in Europe.